Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.069924 0.077400 0.085599 0.095306 0.106542 0.119213 0.134685
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.057918 0.067866 0.079661 0.094862 0.114206 0.138383 0.171515
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.050533 0.061872 0.076165 0.095908 0.123139 0.160445 0.217445
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.045259 0.057392 0.073466 0.096994 0.131793 0.183587 0.271343
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041178 0.053744 0.071094 0.097781 0.139755 0.207143 0.333228
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.037696 0.050385 0.068519 0.097618 0.145922 0.228986 0.399742
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.034574 0.047130 0.065598 0.096319 0.149766 0.247507 0.466939
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.032713 0.045485 0.064831 0.098231 0.159295 0.278708 0.575067
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.030382 0.042884 0.062250 0.096665 0.162109 0.297276 0.662618
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.028858 0.041376 0.061224 0.097598 0.169773 0.328169 0.800818
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027216 0.039530 0.059440 0.096883 0.173947 0.352371 0.935591
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.026106 0.038441 0.058803 0.098184 0.182555 0.390041 1.145260
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025035 0.037352 0.058099 0.099338 0.191306 0.431914 1.415640
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023823 0.035939 0.056696 0.098933 0.196467 0.466121 1.695812
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022939 0.035016 0.056087 0.100067 0.205602 0.516218 2.130535
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.022134 0.034168 0.055531 0.101228 0.215104 0.572149 2.707880
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021354 0.033306 0.054869 0.102066 0.223990 0.630725 3.449540
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020518 0.032287 0.053817 0.101895 0.230115 0.682638 4.300327
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019614 0.031088 0.052319 0.100521 0.232546 0.721559 5.174982
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019144 0.030649 0.052279 0.102546 0.245574 0.814268 7.179501
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018328 0.029524 0.050778 0.100888 0.246915 0.854635 8.706197
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017830 0.028961 0.050376 0.101876 0.257033 0.946246 12.067204
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.017199 0.028114 0.049325 0.101119 0.261252 1.010574 15.697437